DONALD TRUMP JUNIOR JIVER
by Comandante Chispas
“Jive.” Definition: Slang. Deceptive, exaggerated, or meaningless talk. Insincere, pretentious. Don't give me any of that jive!
In case you are from Mars and don´t know what is happening on earth, click here for a cogent summary of Donald Trump Junior´s (henceforth Junior) growing sinkhole.
What accounts for the gyrations of the Trump family in general and of Junior in particular concerning his meeting with the lady lawyer from Russia?
To start with, the Trump stories do not show what Junior says they do. For why his explanation is meaningless, deceptive talk – jive – click here.
I suspect that in June 2016, five months before the Trump-Hillary election, the Russians cooked up the “damaging information on Hillary” story, handed it to the lady lawyer and then sent her as a probe to see how the Trump team would respond. In football, the first series of plays test the center of the line. Similarly, in chess the initial moves probe for control of the four center squares. In both cases if someone can prevail, the game is usually over when it only started. You just saw what the pros in both sports know and look for.
Little did the Russians suspect how easy things would be ...
Everybody who has ever been a staffer in a big election campaign knows that at least one person will inevitably step out of the woods claiming to have damaging information on the opponent.
Those somebodies are ALWAYS suspect. They could be a plant. If you accept their information and run with it, you will turn into a pumpkin on the nightly news.
You just saw what gives Junior´s game away:
To have agreed to see one such a person WITHOUT EVEN KNOWING THEIR NAME – as Junior is claiming – in and of itself displays implacable, irremediable, hideous ignorance.
Or does it?
THE COMANDANTE CHISPAS HYPOTHESIS offers an alternative explanation:
Junior is lying.
A video made in 2013 has mysteriously surfaced proving beyond a shadow of a doubt that Trump Senior personally knew Rod Goldstone, the British middle man between Russian billionaire Aras Agalarov who was supposedly the source of the damaging information about Hillary. Goldstone told Junior in an email that Agalarov had obtained the information from "the Crown prosecutor of Russia."
For that matter, Trump Senior personally knew Agalarov. In 2013, they signed a multi-million dollar to bring the Miss Universe Pageant to Moscow.
So, why didn´t Agalarov simply approach directly his old business associate Donald with the anti-Hillary information? Why use Goldstone as a middle man?
Answer: Agalarov didn´t want to be directly tied to what was about to happen: a classic setup.
Here is what I think went down:
(1) Goldstone contacted Trump Senior directly and told him he knew somebody important in Russia who had damaging information on Hillary.
(2) Trump Senior referred Goldstone to Junior.
(3) Dad´s referral explains why Junior did the unthinkable. He pursued the lead and held the meeting with the lady lawyer without knowing her name, without asking the usual questions, without having the usual doubts.
It goes without saying if that course of events – my hypothesis -- is correct then Donald Trump´s statement that he had no knowledge of the meeting between Junior and the lady lawyer is a lie.
(1) The Kremlin´s set-up gives decisive leverage to the Russians over President Trump.
Here´s how that works:
To repeat: Trump Senior said he had no knowledge of Junior´s meeting with the Russian lady lawyer. All Goldstone has to do now is tell the truth, i.e., say he talked first with Trump Senior, who referred him to Junior.
Trump Senior is lying. Presto – the already serious prospect of regime change in Washington becomes even more serious.
Of course, Goldstone might agree not to spill the beans if, … ah … well … Trump lifted economic and diplomatic sanctions against Russia. Trump would do so with a shrug, “Oh well. Everybody knows the sanctions aren´t working anyway. Who cares, really?”
That is when Donald Trump would learn what he has yet to learn about politics -- Rule #1:
Buying someone is one thing; will they stay bought is another.
Lieutenant Colombo “Oh, by the way”- style, Goldstone´s “requests” and "suggestions" would continue, one after another … after another … after ...
Let me address a point some Ello readers may raise:
Everybody already knows that Trump Senior is a chronic liar. What difference would one more lie make? Where´s the leverage point?
The answer is, it depends on the setting in which a lie is told.
Think back to Bill Clinton. The actual act that occurred – a soiled fairy tale in a cloak closet – is not an impeachable offense (as of last reports). Lying about it in a sworn deposition, however, was perjury, a crime. Lying about the act, not the act itself, is what led to Clinton´s impeachment. When all is said and done, Clinton was sucker-punched by Kenneth Starr, the independent counsel who took the deposition.
The Trump opposition´s already-strong hand will be further strengthened if
(i) somebody can get Trump Senor or Junior – best of all, both -- to declare in a legal setting what they have already declared: Senior “didn´t know about the meeting.” That setting can take various forms, e.g. testimony in Congress, a formal deposition to an independent counsel. If Senior or Junior lies under those conditions, he will commit perjury, a crime under the United State Code. The subject matter or what resulted from the lie (if anything) make no difference whatsoever.
(ii) It is amazing how the unconscious functions – what it sees and anticipates -- particularly in Trump Senior. Not only does he telegraph his punches, he telegraphs those of his opponents. To wit:
On May 12 Trump Senior famously twittered: “James Comey better hope there are no ´tapes´ of our conversations before he starts leaking to the press.” Trump Senior and Trump Junior better hope that Goldstone did not tape his initial telephone call (or whatever) to Trump Senior telling him about the Russians´ damaging information on Hillary.
One thing is certain. Perhaps the biggest leverage point – a blackmail point, if you will -- in world history has been created. On the one hand, on-going control of the Trump presidency; on the other, the end of the Trump presidency. Heads, Russia wins; tails, Trump loses.
Either way, Russia trumps Trump.
(2) Why would Russia want to co-operate with the Trump opposition and get rid of Trump? After all, by all accounts Russia wanted Trump to win the White House.
We showed in our post “Why Hillary Lost” that the Russians did not make Hillary lose. The irony is, if things keep moving in the direction they taking right now, although the Russians did not elect Trump they now have the power to dis-elect him.
The Russians wanted Trump to win because they concluded he would be incompetent and weaken America; they were right. However, once in office and preliminary damage done, Trump is proving to be too erratic to be included even among what Russians call полезные дуракиa: useful fools. The Russians may have concluded that going forward, Vice President Pence, a do-nothing guy like Obama, is preferable.
We will know for sure when and if there is a mysterious leak of the communication in which Goldstone informs Trump Senior about the damaging information on Hillary.
At the end of the day, what are we to make of all the jive talk, the Kremlin machinations and Trump gyrations?
I offer The Iron Law of Comandante Chispas:
If They Can, They Will.
Post scriptum. Minutes ago, a report was published on a litany of threats and obscenities made by Marc Kasowitz, Donald Trump´s personal lawyer on the Russian affair. "Watch your back, bitch," etc. Another jiver, then -- exaggerated talk -- if there ever was one. The Russians may conclude that what had been latent is now manifest; the Trump camp is in a self-sabotage mode, and should be left to its fate.
#Donaldtrumpjunior #Rodgoldstone #Arasagalarov #Donaldtrumpjuniorjiver